Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 7.894391 9.027394 10.279124 11.766852 13.489837 15.425999 17.771511
2025-07-13 6.537414 8.045018 9.846811 12.167618 15.090362 18.665519 23.395346
2025-07-20 5.688260 7.379376 9.518619 12.440816 16.355764 21.457465 28.671074
2025-07-27 5.165363 6.996981 9.424734 12.906602 17.818889 24.570944 34.674078
2025-08-03 4.519394 6.345166 8.860986 12.619390 18.158014 26.123542 38.633979
2025-08-10 4.036794 5.850435 8.437329 12.445544 18.588534 27.792820 42.901654
2025-08-17 3.643642 5.433960 8.068529 12.288258 18.991287 29.419985 47.252377
2025-08-24 3.304009 5.057535 7.712515 12.096290 19.293675 30.888910 51.485434
2025-08-31 3.003336 4.708599 7.359068 11.860211 19.480375 32.162700 55.509510
2025-09-07 2.892983 4.647050 7.447026 12.340656 20.890021 35.604089 63.712966
2025-09-14 2.726846 4.477610 7.340789 12.477729 21.714468 38.109655 70.521527
2025-09-21 2.547134 4.268396 7.147124 12.439278 22.214361 40.073970 76.538482
2025-09-28 2.362328 4.037535 6.900933 12.291466 22.513811 41.728975 82.231803
2025-10-05 2.282782 3.982860 6.955845 12.694287 23.882996 45.557822 92.823344
2025-10-12 2.191905 3.899273 6.949986 12.979449 25.050229 49.115878 103.332817
2025-10-19 2.136092 3.874016 7.046620 13.467045 26.665613 53.752869 116.823084
2025-10-26 1.981671 3.652284 6.757150 13.166350 26.638879 54.972952 122.818510
2025-11-02 1.855985 3.475086 6.537666 12.984357 26.837674 56.688033 130.184888
2025-11-09 1.743228 3.314059 6.336301 12.819707 27.053551 58.458013 137.921140
2025-11-16 1.635888 3.155520 6.127160 12.618763 27.167021 60.005705 145.323159
2025-11-23 1.532451 2.997140 5.906028 12.371660 27.150269 61.248044 152.124323
2025-11-30 1.511891 3.005069 6.024743 12.874557 28.898908 66.840236 171.064366
2025-12-07 1.457512 2.939008 5.983929 13.018049 29.820355 70.542996 185.513006